In a poll to estimate presidential popularity each person in
In a poll to estimate presidential popularity, each person in a random sample of 1,190 voters was asked to agree with one of the following statements:
A total of 650 respondents selected the first statement, indicating they thought the president was doing a good job.
Construct a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of respondents who feel the president is doing a good job. (Use z Distribution Table.) (Round your answers to 3 decimal places.)
Based on your interval in part (a), is it reasonable to conclude that a majority of the population believes the president is doing a good job?
| 1. | The president is doing a good job. | 
| 2. | The president is doing a poor job. | 
| 3. | I have no opinion. | 
Solution
a)
Note that              
               
 p^ = point estimate of the population proportion = x / n =    0.546218487          
               
 Also, we get the standard error of p, sp:              
               
 sp = sqrt[p^ (1 - p^) / n] =    0.014432219          
               
 Now, for the critical z,              
 alpha/2 =   0.005          
 Thus, z(alpha/2) =    2.575829304          
 Thus,              
               
 lower bound = p^ - z(alpha/2) * sp =   0.509043554          
 upper bound = p^ + z(alpha/2) * sp =    0.583393421          
               
 Thus, the confidence interval is              
               
 (   0.509043554   ,   0.583393421   ) [ANSWER]
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b)
 Yes, because the whole interval is totally greater than 0.50. [ANSWER]

