In a poll to estimate presidential popularity each person in
In a poll to estimate presidential popularity, each person in a random sample of 1,190 voters was asked to agree with one of the following statements:
A total of 650 respondents selected the first statement, indicating they thought the president was doing a good job.
Construct a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of respondents who feel the president is doing a good job. (Use z Distribution Table.) (Round your answers to 3 decimal places.)
Based on your interval in part (a), is it reasonable to conclude that a majority of the population believes the president is doing a good job?
| 1. | The president is doing a good job. |
| 2. | The president is doing a poor job. |
| 3. | I have no opinion. |
Solution
a)
Note that
p^ = point estimate of the population proportion = x / n = 0.546218487
Also, we get the standard error of p, sp:
sp = sqrt[p^ (1 - p^) / n] = 0.014432219
Now, for the critical z,
alpha/2 = 0.005
Thus, z(alpha/2) = 2.575829304
Thus,
lower bound = p^ - z(alpha/2) * sp = 0.509043554
upper bound = p^ + z(alpha/2) * sp = 0.583393421
Thus, the confidence interval is
( 0.509043554 , 0.583393421 ) [ANSWER]
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b)
Yes, because the whole interval is totally greater than 0.50. [ANSWER]
