11 An investigator analyzed the leading digits from 791 chec

----11-----

An investigator analyzed the leading digits from 791 checks issued by seven suspect companies. The frequencies were found to be?

2,?

13,?

3,?

78,?

337,?

302,?

6,?

21,?

and?

29,?

and those digits correspond to the leading digits of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9, respectively. If the observed frequencies are substantially different from the frequencies expected with Benford\'s law shown below, the check amounts appear to result from fraud. Use a 0.10 significance level to test for goodness-of-fit with Benford\'s law. Does it appear that the checks are the result of fraud?

Leading_Digit Actual_Frequency Benford\'s_Law:
1 2 30.10%
2 13 17.60%
3 3 12.50%
4 78 9.70%
5 337 7.90%
6 302 6.70%
7 6 5.80%
8 21 5.10%
9 29 4.60%

What is the Test Statistic-_______

What is the Critical Value and P value________

What is the Null Hypothesis:-________

What is the Research Hypothesis_________

Rejet or fail to reject null hypothesis________

Solution

n = 9
alpha,a = 0.10

expected frequencies:
791*0.301 = 238.091
791*0.176 = 139.216
791*0.1225 = 98.875
791*0.097 = 76.727
791*0.079 = 62.489
791*0.067 = 52.997
791*0.058 = 45.878
791*0.051 = 40.341
791*0.046 = 36.386


test statistic,X^2 = 2852.025

critical value = X^2(a,n-1) = X^2(0.10, 8) = 13.36

Pvalue
degree of freedom = n-1 = 8
P_value < 0.005

Null Hypothesis
observed frequencies agree with frequencies expected with Benford\'s law

research hyptothesis
observed frequencies does not agree with frequencies expected with Benford\'s law

because P_value < 0.10 (=alpha) reject Null Hypothesis

f0 fe (f0-fe)^2 (f0-fe)^2 / fe
2 238.091 55738.960 234.108
13 139.216 15930.479 114.430
3 98.875 9192.016 92.966
78 76.727 1.621 0.021
337 62.489 75356.289 1205.913
302 52.997 62002.494 1169.925
6 45.878 1590.255 34.663
21 40.341 374.074 9.273
29 36.386 54.553 1.499
sum = 2852.025
----11----- An investigator analyzed the leading digits from 791 checks issued by seven suspect companies. The frequencies were found to be? 2,? 13,? 3,? 78,? 3
----11----- An investigator analyzed the leading digits from 791 checks issued by seven suspect companies. The frequencies were found to be? 2,? 13,? 3,? 78,? 3

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