Multivariate Regression Look at the results of a regression
Multivariate Regression. Look at the results of a regression analysis of opposition to Obamacare (Table 2).
Logistic Regression. Assume that the dependent variable in Table 2 is a binary variable (0=support Obamacare, 1= oppose Obamacare) and that the coefficient estimates are from a logistic regression (Table 2).
What is the predicted probability of opposing Obamacare for a Hispanic female from the highest family income quartile with the lowest political expertise/sophistication?
What are the estimated odds of opposing Obamacare for the same female?
Table 2: Opposition to Obamacare
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N = 1,000
R^2 = .473
Regression (Total) Sum of Squares = 360.00
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Race: 0 if Hispanic, 1 if otherwise
Gender: 0 if male, 1 female
Income: 1-4 quartile, 1 = lowest
Political Expertise: 0-3 scale, where higher score indicates more sophistication and expertise
| Coefficient | Standard Error | |
| Constant | 8.56 | 0.74 |
| Gender | -7.59 | 2.04 |
| Race | 1.37 | 0.21 |
| Political Expertise | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| Family Income Quartile | 0.05 | 0.18 |
Solution
Multivariate Regression. Look at the results of a regression analysis of opposition to Obamacare (Table 2).
Logistic Regression. Assume that the dependent variable in Table 2 is a binary variable (0=support Obamacare, 1= oppose Obamacare) and that the coefficient estimates are from a logistic regression (Table 2).
What is the predicted probability of opposing Obamacare for a Hispanic female from the highest family income quartile with the lowest political expertise/sophistication?
What are the estimated odds of opposing Obamacare for the same female?
Table 2: Opposition to Obamacare
Coefficient
Standard Error
Constant
8.56
0.74
Gender
-7.59
2.04
Race
1.37
0.21
Political Expertise
0.41
0.22
Family Income Quartile
0.05
0.18
The regression equation is
Log(P/1-P) = 8.56-7.59*gender +1.37*race+0.41* Political Expertise +0.05* Family Income Quartile
What is the predicted probability of opposing Obamacare for a Hispanic female from the highest family income quartile with the lowest political expertise/sophistication
The value for the variables are
Gender female =1
Race = Hispanic =0
Political Expertise = lowest political expertise =0
highest family income quartile =4
Log(P/1-P) = 8.56-7.59*1 +1.37*0+0.41* 0 +0.05* 4 = 1.17
P/1-p =exp(1.17) =3.222
P= 3.222/( 1+3.222) =0.763
Predicted probability of opposing Obamacare for a Hispanic female from the highest family income quartile with the lowest political expertise/sophistication = 0.763
Estimated odds of opposing Obamacare for the same female = P/(1-P) =3.222
| Coefficient | Standard Error | |
| Constant | 8.56 | 0.74 |
| Gender | -7.59 | 2.04 |
| Race | 1.37 | 0.21 |
| Political Expertise | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| Family Income Quartile | 0.05 | 0.18 |

