I make a multiple choice test with 15 questions and 5 option
I make a multiple choice test with 15 questions and 5 options for each question. For each question, one option is RIDICULOUS, one is CORRECT and three are WRONG BUT NOT RIDICULOUS. I award 5 points for each correct response, and take away 2 points for each ridiculous response. Finally, I take away one point for each wrong non-ridiculous response. Sally is totally unprepared and guesses the answers to each question. What is her expected score?
Solution
Let X1, X2,.......,X15 be the scores in the 15 questions.
Consider question 1: probability of choosing correct answer is 1/5, of ridiculous is 1/5 and of wrong is 3/5
E(X1)=5*1/5+(-2)*1/5+(-1)*3/5 = 0
Also, Xis are all identical in distribution (and independent)
So, E(X1)=E(X2)=..................=E(X15)=0
E(X1+X2+...............+X15)=E(X1)+E(X2)+..................+E(X15)=0
Hence, Sally\'s total expected score is 0.
