Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine which decisi

Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine which decision to select if the probability of S1 is 45%

Decision

s₁

s₂

d₁

8

10

d₂

4

16

d₃

10

0

Solution

From given graphical sensitivity analysis:

                s1 have d1,d2 and d3

                                  s1={d1,d2,d3}=8+4+10=22 =45%

                                   each one is approxmatly 2%

             and       

   s2 have d1,d2 and d3
                                  s2={d1,d2,d3}= 10+16+0=26=55%               [100-45=55 ]

                        each one is approxmatly 55/26=2.1%

           so in s2 decision 2 is select.

                        because it contain :16*2.1=33.8%

                    this is high

if need in s1 then decision 3 is select.