10 hunters shoot at 10 ducks each choosing his target unifor
10 hunters shoot at 10 ducks each choosing his target uniformly at random. Let X be the
number of ducks that escape. Find EX. (Hint: Let Xi = 1 if i-th duck escapes. What is the probability that hunter j hits duck i?)
Solution
If all hunters choose the same duck, 9 ducks can escape
At the other extreme, if each hunter select each duck separately then no duck escapes
Hence no of ducks X can take values as 0 , 1,....9
Pdf of X will be as follows:
Favourable ways for 0 = 10P10 = 10! ways
Favourable ways for x =1 = 10P9 = 10!
Favourable ways for x=2 is 10P8 = 10!/2! and so on
E(X) = 0.999999
| x | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Fav ways | 3628800 | 3628800 | 1814400 | 604800 | 151200 | 30240 | 5040 | 720 | 90 | 10 | 9864100 |
| Prob | 0.367879 | 0.367879 | 0.18394 | 0.061313 | 0.015328 | 0.003066 | 0.000511 | 7.3E-05 | 9.12E-06 | 1.01E-06 | 1 |
| px | 0 | 0.367879 | 0.367879 | 0.18394 | 0.061313 | 0.015328 | 0.003066 | 0.000511 | 7.3E-05 | 9.12E-06 | 0.999999 |
