The average return for largecap domestic stock funds over th

The average return for large-cap domestic stock funds over the three years 2009–2011 was 14.2%. Assume the three-year returns were normally distributed across funds with a standard deviation of 4.1%.

a. What is the probability an individual large-cap domestic stock fund had a three-year return of at least 20% (to 4 decimals)?

b. What is the probability an individual large-cap domestic stock fund had a three-year return of 10% or less (to 4 decimals)?

c. How big does the return have to be to put a domestic stock fund in the top 10% for the three-year period (to 2 decimals)?
%

Solution

a)

We first get the z score for the critical value. As z = (x - u) sqrt(n) / s, then as          
          
x = critical value =    20      
u = mean =    14.2      
          
s = standard deviation =    4.1      
          
Thus,          
          
z = (x - u) / s =    1.414634146      
          
Thus, using a table/technology, the right tailed area of this is          
          
P(z >   1.414634146   ) =    0.078587896 = 0.0786 [answer]

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b)

We first get the z score for the critical value. As z = (x - u) sqrt(n) / s, then as          
          
x = critical value =    10      
u = mean =    14.2      
          
s = standard deviation =    4.1      
          
Thus,          
          
z = (x - u) / s =    -1.024390244      
          
Thus, using a table/technology, the left tailed area of this is          
          
P(z >   -1.024390244   ) =    0.152825494 = 0.1528 [answer]

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c)

First, we get the z score from the given left tailed area. As          
          
Left tailed area =    0.9      
          
Then, using table or technology,          
          
z =    1.281551566      
          
As x = u + z * s / sqrt(n)          
          
where          
          
u = mean =    14.2      
z = the critical z score =    1.281551566      
s = standard deviation =    4.1      
          
Then          
          
x = critical value =    19.45436142 = 19.45 [ANSWER]      

The average return for large-cap domestic stock funds over the three years 2009–2011 was 14.2%. Assume the three-year returns were normally distributed across f
The average return for large-cap domestic stock funds over the three years 2009–2011 was 14.2%. Assume the three-year returns were normally distributed across f

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