A producer of picture frames uses a tracking signal with lim
A producer of picture frames uses a tracking signal with limits of ±4 to decide whether a forecast should be reviewed.
Given historical information for the past four weeks, compute the tracking signal and decide whether the forecast should be reviewed.
The MAD for this item was computed as 2.
Weeks
Actual Sales
Forecast
Deviation
Cumulative Deviation
Tracking Signal
4
16
14
(For tracking signal: round your answers to 1 decimal place, no tolerance.)
| Weeks | Actual Sales | Forecast | Deviation | Cumulative Deviation | Tracking Signal |
| 6.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 13 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 14 | |||
| 4 | 16 | 14 |
|
|
|
Solution
Here MAD=2
Tracking Signal
=deviation/MAD
| Week | Actual Sales | Forecast | Deviation | Cumulative Deviation | Tracking Signal =deviation/MAD |
| 6 | 6/2=3 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 12-11=1 | 6+1=7 | 1/2=0.5 |
| 2 | 14 | 13 | 14-13=1 | 6+1+1=8 | 1/2=0.5 |
| 3 | 14 | 14 | 14-14=0 | 6+1+1+0=8 | 0/2=0.0 |
| 4 | 16 | 14 | 16-14=2 | 6+1+1+0+2=10 | 2/2=1.0 |