An investment counselor calls with hot stock tip He bileves
An investment counselor calls with hot stock tip. He bileves that if the economy remains strong the investment will result in a profit of $50,000.If the economy grows at a moderate pace the investment will result in a profit of $10,000. However if the economy goes into recession the investmentt will result in a loss of $50,000. You contact an economist who believes there is a 20% proba bility the economy will remain strong a 70% probability the economy will grow at a moderate pace and a 10% probability the economy will slip into recession what is the expected profit from this investment?
The expected profit is $ type an integer or a decimal.
Solution
Consider the table:
Thus, as
E(x) = Sum(x P(x)) ,
then
E(x) = $12,000 [ANSWER]
| Profit (x) | P(x) | x P(x) |
| 50000 | 0.2 | 10000 |
| 10000 | 0.7 | 7000 |
| -50000 | 0.1 | -5000 |
| Total | 12000 |
