Homework Homework Set 4 Score 0 of 2 pts P1132 similar to Sa
Solution
NPV of project without any option : -2292
Option 1
NPV of abandonment = 1040
Probability = 0.3
Effective NPV of abandonment = 312
Option 2
NPV of Growth = 3640
Probability = 0.25
Effective NPV of growth = 910
Option 3
NPV of timing= 10700
Probability = 0.15
Effective NPV of abandonment = 1605
By looking at these options, it is clear that Option 2 and Option 3 can be combined.
It means that if the projected outcomes occured, firm can expand its product offerings and also they can delayed certain phases if market is competetive. Project should not be abandoned.
By combining option 2 and option 3:
Strategic NPV = NPV + NPV option 2 + NPV option 3
Strategic NPV = -2292 + 910 + 1605 = 223
In this problem, it is clear that real options helps managers and leaders to take strategic decision to maximize the firm value. If there were no options in our example, CFO would have scrapped the project. But due to these options, the project can be taken forward and can generate +ve value of the stakeholders.
