Can anyone help with part c and d Let the time until a claim
Can anyone help with part c and d?
Let the time until a claim N is paid have the geometric distribution P(N = n) = p(l - p)^n, n = 0,1,2,.... What is P(N n), n = 0,1,2,...? What is the (discrete) hazard P(N = n|N n), n = 0,1,2,...? What is E[N]? Assume the payout is a known, not random, amount 1, but that future payouts are discounted with a factor v Solution
part c)
E[vN]=v0p(1-p)0+v1p(1-p)1+v2p(1-p)2+v3p(1-p)3+...............
=p+vp(1-p)+v2p(1-p)2+v3p(1-p)3+...............
=p[1+v(1-p)+v2(1-p)2+v3(1-p)3+.....................]
=p(1/{1-v(1-p)}) [answer]
d) though the language of the problem is not cleared but it may be that we need to find E[vN+1] as payout is starting from next year.
so E[vN+1]=v1p(1-p)0+v2p(1-p)1+v3p(1-p)2+v4p(1-p)3+...............
=vp[1+v(1-p)+v2(1-p)2+v3(1-p)3+...............]
=vp(1/{1-v(1-p)}) [answer]
