Enrollment in a particular class for the last four semesters

Enrollment in a particular class for the last four semesters has been 123,120,137, and 142 (listed from oldest to most recent). Develop a forecast of enrollment next semester using exponential smoothng with alpha = 0.03. Assume that ans inital forecast for the first semester was 123 (so the forecast and the actual were the same).

Solution

123.89 is forecast for next semester

t Pt Ft
0 123
1 123 123
2 120 122.91
3 137 123.3327
4 142 123.8927
Enrollment in a particular class for the last four semesters has been 123,120,137, and 142 (listed from oldest to most recent). Develop a forecast of enrollment

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