Which alternative should APC choose under the maximax criter
Which alternative should APC choose under the maximax criterion?
Which option should APC choose under the maximin criterion?
Which option should APC choose under the LaPlace criterion?
APC industries has been experiencing significant growth and has been having difficulty meeting customer demands recently. They are considering three options to address this issue. They can move to a larger facility, add a second shift or use a subcontractor to assist in production. The annual payoff of each option depends on if the current market continues to expand hold s steady or declines. The expected payoff for each combination is show in the table belowSolution
given
we have to choose alternative
A)Under maximax criterion
maximax payoff is 250000
move to larger facility option is chosen by APC under maximax criterion
B) under maximin criterion
maximin payoff is -10000
so
Subcontract option should be chosen by APC under maximin criterion
C) Under laplace criterion
maximum expected payoff is 95000
so
move to larger facility option should be chosen by APC under Laplace crieterion
| OPTION | Expand | steady | decline |
| move to larger facility | 250000 | 125000 | -90000 |
| add a second shift | 175000 | 80000 | -45000 |
| subcotract | 90000 | 15000 | -10000 |
