A GMC dealer believes that demand for 2014 car model will be

A GMC dealer believes that demand for 2014 car model will be normally distributed with a mean of 200 and standard deviation of 30. His cost of receiving an Envoy is €25,000, and he sells an Envoy for €40,000. Half of all the Envoys not sold at full price can be sold for €30,000. He is considering ordering, 240, 260, 280, or 300 models for that car?How many should he order?

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Solution

We calculate cost as no. of cars x 25,000 and total price as 200 x 40,000 + No of unsold cars/2 x 30,000. Expected Gain = Total Price - Cost.

Since Expected gain is maximum for 240 cars, he should order 40 cars.

X Cost Total Price Expected Gain
240 6000000 8600000 2600000
260 6500000 8900000 2400000
280 7000000 9200000 2200000
300 7500000 9500000 2000000
A GMC dealer believes that demand for 2014 car model will be normally distributed with a mean of 200 and standard deviation of 30. His cost of receiving an Envo

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