State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Rate of Ret

  State of Economy

Probability of State of Economy

Rate of Return if State Occurs

  Recession

0.21

-0.09

  Normal

0.65

0.14

  Boom

0.14

0.26

Calculate the expected return.

  State of Economy

Probability of State of Economy

Rate of Return if State Occurs

  Recession

0.21

-0.09

  Normal

0.65

0.14

  Boom

0.14

0.26

Solution

expected return of the distribution = 0.21 * -0.09 + 0.65 * 0.14 + 0.14*0.26

expected return of the distribution = 0.1085

 State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Rate of Return if State Occurs Recession 0.21 -0.09 Normal 0.65 0.14 Boom 0.14 0.26 Calculate the expected ret

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