On a 75 question multiple choice test assume 4 possible answ
On a 75 question multiple choice test (assume 4 possible answers for each question, one of which is correct), find the probability of getting 20 or more questions correct purely by guessing
Solution
Note that P(at least x) = 1 - P(at most x - 1).          
           
 Using a cumulative binomial distribution table or technology, matching          
           
 n = number of trials =    75      
 p = the probability of a success = 1/4 =   0.25      
 x = our critical value of successes =    20      
           
 Then the cumulative probability of P(at most x - 1) from a table/technology is          
           
 P(at most   19   ) =    0.587532305
           
 Thus, the probability of at least   20   successes is  
           
 P(at least   20   ) =    0.412467695 [ANSWER]

