A popular casino table game is threecard poker One aspect of
A popular casino table game is three-card poker. One aspect of the game is the \"pair plus\" bet in which a player is paid a dollar amount for any hand of a pair or better, regardless of the hand the dealer has. The table shows the profit and probability of various hands of a player playing the $7 pair plus bet.
12/5525
a) what is the expected profit when playing the $8 pair plus bet in three card poker.
b) what is the standard deviation.
c) You play the game for 6 hours with the average of 33 hands per hour, how much would you expect to lose?
| Outcome | Profit | Probability |
| Straight Flush | 250 | 12/5525 |
| Three of a kind | 165 | 1/425 |
| Straight | 35 | 36/1105 |
| Flush | 27 | 274/5525 |
| Pair | 8 | 72/425 |
| Other | -8 | 822/1105 |
Solution
The table shows the expected profits when placing 8 pair plus bet
So,
Expected profit
= 250 (12 / 5525) + 165 (1 / 425) + 35 (36 / 1105) + 27 ( 274 / 5525 ) + 8 ( 72 / 425 ) - 8 (822 / 1105 )
= -1.185 is the average expected loss from each game
Thus,.Playing for 6 hours at 33 hands per hour,
expected losses = 6 * 33 * -1.185
= -234.69
Calculation for standard deviation is as shown
| Profit | Prob | Product | (Profit - Mean) | ( P - M ) ^2 | Product | |
| 250 | 0.002171946 | 0.542986 | 251.1853394 | 63094.07471 | 137.0369 | |
| 165 | 0.002352941 | 0.388235 | 166.1853394 | 27617.56702 | 64.98251 | |
| 35 | 0.032579186 | 1.140271 | 36.18533937 | 1309.378785 | 42.65849 | |
| 27 | 0.04959276 | 1.339005 | 28.18533937 | 794.4133552 | 39.39715 | |
| 8 | 0.169411765 | 1.355294 | 9.185339367 | 84.37045928 | 14.29335 | |
| -8 | 0.743891403 | -5.95113 | -6.814660633 | 46.43959955 | 34.54602 | |
| 1 | Var | 332.9144 | ||||
| Mean | -1.18533937 | Std.Dev | 18.24594 |
