Demand experienced over the last four months was as follows
Demand experienced over the last four months was as follows:
If to forecast demand we were using a four-period weighted moving average (with w1 = 0.5, w2 = 0.3, w3 = 0.1 and w4 = 0.1, what would our forecast for January be?
| Month | Demand |
| September | 73 |
| October | 70 |
| November | 59 |
| December | 57 |
Solution
According to the 4 period weighted moving average,
Forecast for January = W1*demand for December + W2*demand for November + W3*demand for October + W4*demand for September
Forecast for January = .5*57 + .3*59 + .1*70 + .1*73
Forecast for January = 60.5 or 61
