Given the values in the table below use exponential smoothin
Given the values in the table below, use exponential smoothing with trend (with both smoothing constants set to 0.2) to calculate the smoothed estimate and smoothed trend for periods 1 and 2, and calculate the forecast for periods 2 and 3. Make sure that you show your work.
Solution
The formula we use in this are
Ct=ayt+(1-a)(Ct-1 + Tt-1)
Tt =b(Ct -Ct-1) +(1-b)Tt-1
Ft+1=Ct +Tt
| Month | Demand | Smoothed Estimate | Smoothed Trend | Forecast |
| 0 | 105 | 5 | ||
| 1 | 91 | 106.2 | 4.24 | 110 |
| 2 | 111 | 110.552 | 4.2624 | 110.44 |
| 3 | 114.8144 |
