In the already temperaturesorted dataset find on which obser

In the already temperature-sorted dataset, find on which observation the first successful launch occurred (one with no incident). _______What is the probability that the first failure would come on or alter this observation

Solution

In the already temperature sorted data set, on which observation the first successful launch occured ( one with no incident ) is 5, i.e on 5th observation the furst successful launch occured the temprature at 5 th launch is 66.2F

The first failure observed after the five trials of the first success, assume each trial is independent with p=1/2 then

the probability that the first failure would come on or after this observations = (1/2)^6= 1/64