5 A recent article in The Wall Street Journal reported that
5. A recent article in The Wall Street Journal reported that the 30-year mortgage rate is now less than 6%. A sample of eight small banks in the Midwest revealed the following 30-year rates (in percent): 4.8 5.3 6.5 4.8 6.1 5.8 6.2 5.6 At 0.10 level, can you conclude that the 30-year mortgage rate is now less than 6%?
Solution
here null H0:mu=6 vs alternative H1:mu<6
we have a sample of size n=8 alpha=0.10
sample mean=Xbar(say) and sample sd=s(say)
the test statistic is given as T=(Xbar-mu)*sqrt(n)/s which under H0 follows a t distribution with degrees of freedom n-1
we reject H0 iff observed value of T=t<tn-1,alpha where tn-1,alpha is the upper alpha point of a t distribution with degrees of freedom n-1
Xbar=5.638 s=0.635 n=8 alpha=0.1 mu=6
so t=(5.638-6)*sqrt(8)/0.635=-1.6124
and t7,0.1=1.41492
so t<t7,0.1
hence H0 is rejected and it is concluded based on the given data at hand is that the the 30-year mortgage rate is now less than 6%. [answer]

