Continue the flipping of a fair coin 100 times Calculate th
%) Continue the flipping of a fair coin 100 times.
Calculate the probability of at least 50 heads with up to 4 significant digits.
(6%) Directly like you what you did in week 1 or week 2 using combinatorics.
(6%) Approximately using De Moivre-Laplace formula like in (6.93). Note you can approximate F(n) if n > 4.99 (not in table 3.1 or 3.2) since we are only interested in 4 significant digits.
Solution
A.
We use binomial distirbution here.
Note that P(at least x) = 1 - P(at most x - 1).
Using a cumulative binomial distribution table or technology, matching
n = number of trials = 100
p = the probability of a success = 0.5
x = our critical value of successes = 50
Then the cumulative probability of P(at most x - 1) from a table/technology is
P(at most 49 ) = 0.460205381
Thus, the probability of at least 50 successes is
P(at least 50 ) = 0.539794619 [ANSWER]
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