What is the standard deviation of the forcasted returns for
What is the standard deviation of the forcasted returns for Flamingo Int?
Forecasted
Return
8%, 3%, -2%
Probability
.30, .55, .15
Solution
sd=sqrt(V(X))
V(X)=E(X2)-(E(X))2
E(X2)=sum(X2*p(x))
E(X)=sum(x*p(x)
E(X)=3.75
E(X2)=24.75
V(X)=24.75-(3.75)^2=10.6875
sd=sqrt(10.6275)=3.26917
| return | p(x) | x*p(x) | x2*p(x) | 
| 8 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 19.2 | 
| 3 | 0.55 | 1.65 | 4.95 | 
| -2 | 0.15 | -0.3 | 0.6 | 
| 3.75 | 24.75 | 

