The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake

The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake Erie can be classified using 4 different classes: on the mainland, snakes are mostly heavily–patterned with rings (class D), whereas on islands snakes mostly occur either without rings (A), or light–patterned (B), or finally moderately–patterned (C). The occurence of the four classes in samples taken on two different island groups is the following: Assume the following “box theory”: the distribution of the classes is the same on the two islands. This theory and the related null hypothesis (H0) are checked by means of a 2 test.

(a) determine how many snakes of class A are expected on location 1;

(b) determine the 2;

(c) determine the number of degrees of freedom;

(d) determine the p–value and formulate a statement on the significance of H0.

class location 1 (Bass Islands) location 2 (Middle & Pelee)
A 78 100
B 82 43
C 39 35
D 16 10
total 215 188

(a) determine how many snakes of class A are expected on location 1;

(b) determine the 2;

(c) determine the number of degrees of freedom;

(d) determine the p–value and formulate a statement on the significance of H0.

Solution

The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake Erie can be classified using 4 different classes: on the mainland, snakes are mostly heavily–patterned with rings (class D), whereas on islands snakes mostly occur either without rings (A), or light–patterned (B), or finally moderately–patterned (C). The occurence of the four classes in samples taken on two different island groups is the following: Assume the following “box theory”: the distribution of the classes is the same on the two islands. This theory and the related null hypothesis (H0) are checked by means of a 2 test.

class

location 1 (Bass Islands)

location 2 (Middle & Pelee)

A

78

100

B

82

43

C

39

35

D

16

10

total

215

188

expected value =215*178/403 = 94.96

chi square =7.815

DF=(4-1)(2-1) =3

(d) determine the p–value and formulate a statement on the significance of H0.

P=0.002

Calculated P=0.002 < 0.05 level of significance

The null hypothesis is rejected.

We conclude that the distribution of the classes is different on the two islands.

Chi-Square Test

Observed Frequencies

Column variable

Calculations

class

location 1

location 2

Total

fo-fe

A

78

100

178

-16.9628

16.9628

B

82

43

125

15.3127

-15.3127

C

39

35

74

-0.4789

0.4789

D

16

10

26

2.1290

-2.1290

Total

215

188

403

Expected Frequencies

Column variable

class

location 1

location 2

Total

(fo-fe)^2/fe

A

94.96

83.04

178

3.0300

3.4651

B

66.69

58.31

125

3.5161

4.0210

C

39.48

34.52

74

0.0058

0.0066

D

13.87

12.13

26

0.3268

0.3737

Total

215

188

403

Data

Level of Significance

0.05

Number of Rows

4

Number of Columns

2

Degrees of Freedom

3

Results

Critical Value

7.815

Chi-Square Test Statistic

14.745

p-Value

0.0020

Reject the null hypothesis

class

location 1 (Bass Islands)

location 2 (Middle & Pelee)

A

78

100

B

82

43

C

39

35

D

16

10

total

215

188

  1. determine how many snakes of class A are expected on location 1;

expected value =215*178/403 = 94.96

  1. determine the 2;

chi square =7.815

  1. determine the number of degrees of freedom;

DF=(4-1)(2-1) =3

(d) determine the p–value and formulate a statement on the significance of H0.

The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake Erie can be classified using 4 different classes: on the mainland, snakes are mostly heavily–pattern
The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake Erie can be classified using 4 different classes: on the mainland, snakes are mostly heavily–pattern
The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake Erie can be classified using 4 different classes: on the mainland, snakes are mostly heavily–pattern
The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake Erie can be classified using 4 different classes: on the mainland, snakes are mostly heavily–pattern
The ring pattern of the water snake Nerodia sipedon in Lake Erie can be classified using 4 different classes: on the mainland, snakes are mostly heavily–pattern

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