Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine which decisi
Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine which decision to select if the probability of S1 is 45%
States of Nature
Decision
s1
s2
d1
8
10
d2
4
16
d3
10
0
d2
d3
d1
d1 or d2
d2 or d3
| States of Nature |
Solution
Lets calculate probability of S1 in each of the given options:
Thus, the closest option is to go with d1
Hope this helps. Ask if you have any doubts
| Decision | s1 | s2 | total | Probability | s1 | s2 |
| d1 | 8 | 10 | 18 | d1 | 44% | 56% |
| d2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | d2 | 20% | 80% |
| d3 | 10 | 0 | 10 | d3 | 100% | 0% |
| d1 or d2 | 32% | 68% | ||||
| d2 or d3 | 47% | 53% |
