The media often attempts to predict the outcome of national

The media often attempts to predict the outcome of national elections. Why are they often wrong? Based on the concepts presented in this module\'s readings, how could the system be improved?

Solution

I think that the media probably uses informal guessing as opposed to statistical prediction. I don’tknow how anyone can even think the two are similar, because most of the time the informationcomes off as bias or opinions.If they are using statistics in some cases (like national elections)the information is being skewed. The media isn’t the voice of the people anymore – just look atFox News. I remember when a few elections ago a news station predicted the wrong winner in abig election. There was a huge scandal behind that. The media needs to change and improve theirsystems. Instead of bias being a leading factor, they need to take a nod at the field of statistics

The public pays for the media. The media provides the public what they want to hear. Some in the media try to manipulate the outcome of elections using their power and prestige in predictions. They are not always successful. Lincoln was right when he said, \"You can fool some of the people all of the time and all of the people some of the time, but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time.\"