You have been offered a chance to purchase a lottery ticket

You have been offered a chance to purchase a lottery ticket with a 10% chance of making $500; 20% chance of making $25. The price of the ticket is $10.

Should you buy it or you shouldn’t? Why?

Solution

Considert the table:

As

E(x) = Sum (x P(x)) = 45 > 0, then I should BUY THE TICKET, as it is profitable by an average of $45 a ticket. [ANSWER]

Prize Profit (x) Probability P(x) x P(x)
500 490 0.1 49
25 15 0.2 3
0 -10 0.7 -7
You have been offered a chance to purchase a lottery ticket with a 10% chance of making $500; 20% chance of making $25. The price of the ticket is $10. Should y

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