If you want to be 95 confident of estimating the population
If you want to be 95% confident of estimating the population proportion to within a sampling error of + or - .03, what sample size is needed?
A sample size of _____ is needed. (Round up to the nearest integer.)
Solution
Sampling Error = + 0.03
Let the required sample size be n
For no prior estimate we take p = 0.50
Std error = sqrt[p *(1-p)/n] = sqrt[0.5 * (1-0.5)/n] = sqrt[0.25/n]
Margin of error = +0.03
alpha = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
Critical probability = 1 - alpha/2 = 0.975
Critical value for cumulative probability 0.975 is +1.96
Margin of Error = Critical value * Std Error
0.03 = 1.96 * sqrt(0.25/n)
n = 1067
