Consider the following information Calculate the expected re

Consider the following information:


Calculate the expected return.

State of
Economy
Probability of
State of Economy
Rate of Return
if State Occurs
Recession .27 ? .11
Boom .73 .23

Solution

Expected return = Probability * rate of return

Expected return = 0.27 * ( -0.11) + 0.73 * 0.23

Expected return = -0.0297 + 0.1679

Expected return = 0.1382 or 13.82%

Consider the following information: Calculate the expected return. State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Rate of Return if State Occurs Recession .27

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