You arrive at the beach for a vacation and are dismayed to l

You arrive at the beach for a vacation and are dismayed to learn that the local weather

station is predicting a 50% chance of rain every day. Using Monte Carlo simulation,

predict the chance that it rains three consecutive days during your vacation. USE MAPLE

Solution

probability for rain on a day =0.50

Rain for each day is independent

Prob for 3 consecutive days = (0.5)(0.5)(0.5) = 0.125

You arrive at the beach for a vacation and are dismayed to learn that the local weather station is predicting a 50% chance of rain every day. Using Monte Carlo

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