Gain Communications sells aircraft communication units to bo
Gain Communications sells aircraft communication units to both military and the civilian markets. Next year’s sales depend on market conditions that cannot be predicted exactly. Gain follows the modern practice of using probability estimates of sales. The military division estimates its sales as follows:
Units sold 1000 3000 5000 10,000
Probability 0.1 0.3 .4 .2
These are personal probabilities that express the informed opinion of Gain’s executives. The corresponding sales estimates for the civilian division are
Units sold 300 500 750
Probability 0.4 0.5 0.1
Take X to be the number of military units sold and Y the number of civilian units sold.
a)From the probability distribution compute the estimated average sales for military division and civilian division.
Solution
estimated average for military division=E[X]=1000*0.1+3000*0.3+5000*0.4+10000*0.2=5000 [answer]
estimated average for civilian division=E[Y]=300*0.4+500*0.5+750*0.1=445 [answer]
